CHINA’S “Justice Mission 2025” Around Taiwan

SOUTH CHINA SEA

29 December, 19:43 UTC

AMBREY INSIGHT> Maritime Operating Environment Update: CHINA’S “Justice Mission 2025” Around Taiwan

Date issued: 29 December 2025

“Ambrey advises that the most likely effects are short-notice disruption: temporary danger areas, denser military/law-enforcement traffic, and schedule volatility. Live-firing and parallel enforcement activities increase the risk of miscalculation. Maintain routing flexibility.”

Source: This document has been approved for distribution by Ambrey Analytics Ltd.

EVENT

On 29 December, China’s PLA Eastern Theatre Command announced a large-scale joint exercise around Taiwan, code-named “Justice Mission 2025”. The Fujian Province Maritime Safety Administration issued a warning of exercises between 00:00–10:00 UTC (08:00–18:00 local) on 30 December, involving army, navy, air force and rocket force elements. Public reporting indicates live-firing, multi-directional approaches towards Taiwan, and training objectives consistent with sea–air patrols, simulated strikes, and blockade-style operations focused on key ports and areas.

The MSA announced exercises in these areas…

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